2010-08-31

Unprecedented polling lead for GOP

It's almost as if we're heading towards an unprecedented low (since the Great Depression) in social mood, what with the extreme poll results.

GOP Takes Unprecedented 10-Point Lead on Generic Ballot

I don't know how effective the generic ballot poll is today, as many polls have lost their predictive ability. It's a simple mathematical formula if it has any predictive ability though—the Republicans had a 5% edge in 1994. If I were betting, I'd place money on the most extreme outcomes, for example I predict that Sharron Angle will unseat Harry Reid.

No comments:

Post a Comment